阅兵效应

927日,民主党总统候选人希拉里·克林顿在社交媒体发表非难中国国家主席的言论。她说:“习一边迫害女权人士,一边在联合国主持有关妇女权利的会议?不要脸。”(Xi hosting a meeting on women’s rights at the UN while persecuting feminists? Shameless.

尽管有人辩称,希拉里做这番表态,是为了取悦选民,但是,身为资深政治家和外交官,使用“不要脸”这样人身攻击的字眼还是非常不正确的。写下这个字眼的人,似乎满怀对中国的厌恶与排斥。而这种感觉或许缘自中国给世界带来的变化。

2012年习近平访美时,首次提出构建“新型大国关系”。既然是“新型”的关系,必然是对“旧式关系”的改变。中方的提法,得到了美方的响应。对于“新型大国关系”,中国方面最初提供的译法是“a new type of great power relationship”,但美方自己确定的说法是“a new model for relations between great powers”。既然用了“between”,而且美国也没和其他国家搞过“新型大国关系”,说明美方至少认为,中国是可以与其平起平坐的大国。

有实力,才能让情怀落地。在93日的抗战胜利日阅兵,这种实力被充分展示出来。阅兵分列式的前部分,展示的是中国军队的壮盛军容,可以算“作秀”,但后面的装备展示,是真正的硬实力的体现。其中最大的明星,莫于过东风-21D和东风26反舰弹道导弹。这两种导弹都可用于包括航空母舰在内的大型水面舰艇。

东风-21D可以将敌对国家的航空母舰战斗群拒止于海岸线1,700公里之外,远超过了航母舰载机的作战范围,使航母变成摆设。有关东风-21D的传闻存在了很多年,怀疑者很多。即便在93日正式亮相后,网上仍有人从“专业角度”论述弹道导弹打击水面移动目标的可能性微乎其微。

但潜在的竞争对手似乎不这样看。美军前些年在极力发展一种舰载无人机,代号为X-47B。这是一种隐形的亚音速高空武装无人机,航程超过大约3,900公里,而且可以空中加油。它可以在东风-21D射程之外起飞,深入中国大陆,摧毁配属东风-21D的雷达系统,令其无法找到攻击目标,然后航空母舰可以安全驶入中国近海线,放出舰载机发动攻击。

但是,阅兵日上出现的东风-26让这种设想落空。外界此前从未听说过这款导弹,它的出现完全是意外。网上称这款导弹是“关岛快递”并不准确。官方介绍,它用于攻击水面舰艇,射程超过4000公里而且核常兼备。有了东风-26,航母就是待在第二岛链也不安全,X-47B也失去了它的战略意义。

阅兵式后不久,中国国家主席即展开对美国的国是访问。相信这次访问过后,中美新型大国关系终将正式确定下来。少了外来的干扰,中国可以更好地应对本国和所在地区事务,包括加大反腐力度,稳定金融体系,推进一带一路建设,等等。估计过不了多久,就可以清楚地看到这次阅兵带来的效应。

政治家希拉里也应该看到,世界已经发生变化,即便再不顺眼,也应该接受。否则,一旦她竞选成功,那句“不要脸”将成为她巨大的政治负担。

 


阅读数 13,280 / 13,280 views



阅兵效应》上有 10 条评论

  1. xxxxl bean bags 说道:

    There are certainly a lot of details like that to take into consideration. That is a great point to bring up. I offer the thoughts above as general inspiration but clearly there are questions like the one you bring up where the most important thing will be working in honest good faith. I don?t know if best practices have emerged around things like that, but I am sure that your job is clearly identified as a fair game. Both boys and girls feel the impact of just a moment?s pleasure, for the rest of their lives.

    http://bestxxxxlbeanbag.blogspot.in/

  2. Hi there colleagues, its impressive post concerning tutoringand completely defined, keep it up all the time.|

  3. Very descriptive post, I liked that bit. Will there be a part 2?|

  4. hi!,I like your writing very so much! proportion we communicate extra approximately your post on AOL? I need an expert in this space to resolve my problem. Maybe that is you! Looking forward to peer you. |

  5. Hola señores, buen argumento, buen contexto Muy útil la info, gracias

  6. Grazie, ottime informazioni complimenti per la pagina

  7. Thanks a lot for sharing this with all of us you really realize what you’re talking about! Bookmarked. Please additionally seek advice from my web site =). We may have a link trade agreement between us!

  8. and signs 说道:

    her comment is here

    http://tinyurl.com/q7ndw9r

  9. Link exchange is nothing else however it is only placing the other person’s blog link on your page at appropriate place and other person will also do same in support of you.|

  10. Thank you a lot for sharing this with all people you really understand what you’re speaking about! Bookmarked. Kindly also discuss with my site =). We will have a link trade contract between us!

发表评论

电子邮件地址不会被公开。 必填项已用*标注

:wink: :-| :-x :twisted: :) 8-O :( :roll: :-P :oops: :-o :mrgreen: :lol: :idea: :-D :evil: :cry: 8) :arrow: :-? :?: :!: