太空授课不简单

6月20号,神十航天员在天宫一号给全国6000万中小学生上课。这是相当精彩的一堂物理课,展示了不少有趣的现象,比如失重状态下的水滴运动和陀螺的定轴性。相信这次太空授课一定会给全国中小学生带来启发和激励,推动他们在未来从事真正有益于国家发展的事业。

在当下的中国,干什么事都有人质疑。只要在搜索引擎上输入“太空”和“纳税人”的字样,马上就会看到有人说太空授课是拿纳税人的钱作秀。不知是谁,还根据国外航天运输成本,计算出运送太空授课教具的花费是36万元。中国现在问题这么多,西部人民还在吃草,花巨资搞太空授课有什么意义?还不如给山里的孩子买双鞋,给学生宿舍安个空调。

但专家指出,太空授课没有看上去那么简单。它在中小学生眼里是温情的科普,对别国来说则是冰冷的威慑。太空授课是依靠三颗天链中继卫星来实现的。天宫的授课视频先要传到距地球3.6万公里之遥的天链同步中继卫星,再由中继卫星传至地面。中国在2012年7刚刚发射了天链三号,组成了覆盖全球的中继卫星系统。授课画面稳定,语音清晰,验证了这一系统的可靠性。

不知是否故意,王亚平在讲课中提到,飞船每90分钟绕地球一圈,而太空授课持续了40多分钟,在此期间,它已经飞过半个地球;此外,授课有学生提问环节,表明天宫与地面是双向的数据交流。中国通过太空授课的方式告诉潜在的对手,如果它想发射一颗洲际导弹,它有能力对导弹做出实精准的监测和控制。

神舟系列飞船执行过大量军事任务。神舟四号的轨道舱携带了电子侦察设备,神舟五号上载有分辨率为1米的高清晰度传输型相机。神舟项目本身既是秀肌肉。与天宫的交会对接、返回舱的回收,都展现出强大的制导水平。

近年来,中国军事技术呈现突飞猛进之势,如2011年歼20首飞,2012年航母入役、大型运输机首飞。航天方面也是一年上一个台阶。中国军力的成长提升了国家影响力,已经改变了世界的政治格局。

奥巴马总统2010年在国情谘文演讲中说:“我不会接受美国成为老二。”(I will not accept the second place for the United States of America.)言词之间霸气侧漏,全场掌声雷动。但到了在2012年习近平访美,提出构建“新型大国关系”时,美方马上予以响应。对于“新型大国关系”,中国方面最初提供的译法是“a new type of great power relationship”,但美方自己确定的说法是“a new model for relations between great powers”。既然用了“between”,而且美国也确实不和其他国家搞什么“新型大国关系”,说明美方已经认可,中国是可以与其平起平坐的大国。两国领导人在安纳伯格庄园的会晤就是正式宣告,世界由“一超独大”进入“两极共治”的时代。

这种新局面也不会维持很久,因为中国军力还将大踏步向前发展。中国的空间站将在2020年建成,而国际空间站届时已弃用,中国将成为唯一拥有太空军事基地的国家。它应该就是传说中的航天母舰,可以发射天基对地打击动能武器(SGKW),帮助中国在未来可能的战争中夺取制天权。此外,在2020年,北斗导航完成全球组网,中国还将拥有自己的航母战斗群,从这一年起,中国的军事影响力就将冲破第一岛链,走向远洋。世界政治到那时必将是另一番模样。

不过到了那时,中国在关键军事技术上依然落后。我在2010年听航空系统的人说,中国在航空发动机方面落后世界先进水平整整一代,追赶的速度是10年半代。也就是说,中国要到2030年左右才能在航空发动机上追上先进国家。航空发动机是军事工业的皇冠宝石,中国若在它上面取得突破,就意味着军事技术的全球领先。世界将进入中国独大的时代。

在人类历史上,一国独大并不罕见。独大绝不应该是中国的终极目的。古人说的好:并吞六合,不免帜道之灾;混一车书,无救平阳之祸。意思是,出来混都是要还的。中国若是像别国那样仗剑经商,即以武力为后盾,强推一套对自己有利的游戏规则,或用金融手段直接洗劫他国财富,那就不可避免地陷入了帝国兴替的循环。因为总有国家能借着你定的规则崛起,直到将你取代。作为史上第一个人口超过10亿的工业化国家,中国理应怀有更伟大的愿景,为人类发展开拓新局面。今年12月份将在月球着陆的嫦娥三号就是在开启一个更遥远的未来——向外太空进军!等嫦娥三号登月、电视上直播探月车在月球表面行走的画面之时,我们再来讨论这个愿景吧。


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